Institutional Repository of Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences
| Mid-Pliocene El Nino/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift | |
| Pontes, Gabriel M.1; Taschetto, Andrea S.2,3; Sen Gupta, Alex2,3; Santoso, Agus2,3,4; Wainer, Ilana1; Haywood, Alan M.5; Chan, Wing-Le6; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako6; Stepanek, Christian7; Lohmann, Gerrit7; Hunter, Stephen J.5; Tindall, Julia C.5; Chandler, Mark A.8; Sohl, Linda E.8; Peltier, W. Richard9; Chandan, Deepak9; Kamae, Youichi10; Nisancioglu, Kerim H.11; Zhang, Zhongshi11; Contoux, Camille12; Tan, Ning12,13; Zhang, Qiong14,15; Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.16; Brady, Esther C.16; Feng, Ran17; von der Heydt, Anna S.18; Baatsen, Michiel L. J.18; Oldeman, Arthur M.18 | |
| 2022-08-11 | |
| Source Publication | NATURE GEOSCIENCE
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| ISSN | 1752-0894 |
| Pages | 22 |
| Abstract | The El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the dominant driver of year-to-year climate variability in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, impacts climate pattern across the globe. However, the response of the ENSO system to past and potential future temperature increases is not fully understood. Here we investigate ENSO variability in the warmer climate of the mid-Pliocene (similar to 3.0-3.3 Ma), when surface temperatures were similar to 2-3 degrees C above modern values, in a large ensemble of climate models-the Pliocene Model Intercomparison Project. We show that the ensemble consistently suggests a weakening of ENSO variability, with a mean reduction of 25% (+/- 16%). We further show that shifts in the equatorial Pacific mean state cannot fully explain these changes. Instead, ENSO was suppressed by a series of off-equatorial processes triggered by a northward displacement of the Pacific intertropical convergence zone: weakened convective feedback and intensified Southern Hemisphere circulation, which inhibit various processes that initiate ENSO. The connection between the climatological intertropical convergence zone position and ENSO we find in the past is expected to operate in our warming world with important ramifications for ENSO variability. |
| DOI | 10.1038/s41561-022-00999-y |
| Funding Organization | Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR |
| WOS Keyword | NINO-SOUTHERN OSCILLATION ; PLIOMIP EXPERIMENTS 1 ; WARM PERIOD ; EXPERIMENTAL-DESIGN ; HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE ; GLOBAL CLIMATE ; MODEL ; ENSO ; SIMULATIONS ; VARIABILITY |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil)[2016/23670-0] ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil)[2019/0882-1] ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil)[2021/11035-6] ; Australian Research Council[ARC FT160100495] ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes[CE110001028] ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation[2103055] ; National Science Foundation[1418411] ; National Science Foundation[1852977] ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR |
| Funding Organization | Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Sao Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP-Brazil) ; Australian Research Council ; Australian Research Council ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; NCI National Facility, Canberra ; CSHOR ; CSHOR ; Australian Government ; Australian Government ; European Research Council ; European Research Council ; Past Earth Network ; Past Earth Network ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; CEMAC-University of Leeds ; JSPS ; JSPS ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Earth Simulator at JAMSTEC ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Helmholtz Climate Initiative REKLIM ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Alfred Wegener Institute ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish Research Council ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Swedish National Infrastructure for Computing ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; Canadian Innovation Foundation ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; UNINETT Sigma2-the National Infrastructure for High Performance Computing and Data Storage in Norway ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; Tres Grand Centre de calcul du CEA-GENCI ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; National Science Foundation (NSF-USA) ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; SURFsara Dutch National Computing ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; Netherlands Organisation for Scientific Research, Exact Sciences ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; National Science Foundation ; NCAR ; NCAR |
| WOS Research Area | Geology |
| WOS Subject | Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
| WOS ID | WOS:000839529500002 |
| Publisher | NATURE PORTFOLIO |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/108422 |
| Collection | 新生代地质与环境院重点实验室 |
| Corresponding Author | Pontes, Gabriel M. |
| Affiliation | 1.Univ Sao Paulo, Oceanog Inst, Sao Paulo, Brazil 2.Univ New South Wales, Climate Change Res Ctr, Sydney, NSW, Australia 3.Univ New South Wales, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia 4.CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Ctr Southern Hemisphere Oceans Res CSHOR, Hobart, Tas, Australia 5.Univ Leeds, Sch Earth & Environm, Leeds, W Yorkshire, England 6.Univ Tokyo, Ctr Earth Syst Dynam, Atmosphere & Ocean Res Inst, Tokyo, Japan 7.Helmholtz Ctr Polar & Marine Res, Alfred Wegener Inst, Bremerhaven, Germany 8.Columbia Univ, Columbia CCSR, NASA GISS, New York, NY USA 9.Univ Toronto, Dept Phys, Toronto, ON, Canada 10.Univ Tsukuba, Fac Life & Environm Sci, Tsukuba, Ibaraki, Japan 11.NORCE Norwegian Res Ctr, Bjerknes Ctr Climate Res, Bergen, Norway 12.CEA CNRS UVSQ Univ Paris Saclay, LSCE IPSL, Lab Sci Climat & Environm, Gif Sur Yvette, France 13.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Cenozo Geol & Environm, Beijing, Peoples R China 14.Stockholm Univ, Dept Phys Geog, Stockholm, Sweden 15.Stockholm Univ, Bolin Ctr Climate Res, Stockholm, Sweden 16.Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, POB 3000, Boulder, CO 80307 USA 17.Univ Connecticut, Coll Liberal Arts & Sci, Dept Geosci, Storrs, CT USA 18.Univ Utrecht, Inst Marine & Atmospher Res Utrecht IMAU, Dept Phys, Utrecht, Netherlands |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Pontes, Gabriel M.,Taschetto, Andrea S.,Sen Gupta, Alex,et al. Mid-Pliocene El Nino/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift[J]. NATURE GEOSCIENCE,2022:22. |
| APA | Pontes, Gabriel M..,Taschetto, Andrea S..,Sen Gupta, Alex.,Santoso, Agus.,Wainer, Ilana.,...&Oldeman, Arthur M..(2022).Mid-Pliocene El Nino/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift.NATURE GEOSCIENCE,22. |
| MLA | Pontes, Gabriel M.,et al."Mid-Pliocene El Nino/Southern Oscillation suppressed by Pacific intertropical convergence zone shift".NATURE GEOSCIENCE (2022):22. |
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