IGGCAS OpenIR  > 地球与行星物理院重点实验室
Estimation of the Occurrence Probability of Extreme Geomagnetic Storms by Applying Extreme Value Theory to Aa Index
Chen, Si1,2; Chai, Lihui1,2,3; Xu, Kaihua1,2; Wei, Yong1,2,3; Rong, Zhaojin1,2,3; Wan, Weixing1,2,3
2019-12-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS
ISSN2169-9380
Volume124Issue:12Pages:9943-9952
AbstractIn this work, the occurrence probability of extreme geomagnetic storms is estimated by applying extreme value theory to the geomagnetic activity Aa index. The Aa index has 172 years observation time span, which is much longer than other geomagnetic indices, and thus is more suitable for analysis for rarely occurred extreme geomagnetic storms. We use two newly developed extreme value theory methods, block maxima method and peak over threshold, and find that the extreme geomagnetic storm that happened in March 1989 may happen once per century. This result implies that we should pay more attention to such extreme geomagnetic storms that can cause space weather hazards.
DOI10.1029/2019JA026947
Funding OrganizationChinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China
WOS KeywordSPACE WEATHER ; STATISTICS
Language英语
Funding ProjectChinese Academy of Sciences[XDA17010201] ; National Science Foundation of China[41621063] ; National Science Foundation of China[41674177] ; National Science Foundation of China[41874208] ; National Science Foundation of China[41661164034] ; National Science Foundation of China[41621004] ; National Science Foundation of China[41525016]
Funding OrganizationChinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Chinese Academy of Sciences ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China ; National Science Foundation of China
WOS Research AreaAstronomy & Astrophysics
WOS SubjectAstronomy & Astrophysics
WOS IDWOS:000509195700013
PublisherAMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.iggcas.ac.cn/handle/132A11/95674
Collection地球与行星物理院重点实验室
Corresponding AuthorChai, Lihui
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Earth & Planetary Phys, Beijing, Peoples R China
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth & Planetary Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Innovat Acad Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
First Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Earth and Planetary Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationKey Laboratory of Earth and Planetary Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Chen, Si,Chai, Lihui,Xu, Kaihua,et al. Estimation of the Occurrence Probability of Extreme Geomagnetic Storms by Applying Extreme Value Theory to Aa Index[J]. JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS,2019,124(12):9943-9952.
APA Chen, Si,Chai, Lihui,Xu, Kaihua,Wei, Yong,Rong, Zhaojin,&Wan, Weixing.(2019).Estimation of the Occurrence Probability of Extreme Geomagnetic Storms by Applying Extreme Value Theory to Aa Index.JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS,124(12),9943-9952.
MLA Chen, Si,et al."Estimation of the Occurrence Probability of Extreme Geomagnetic Storms by Applying Extreme Value Theory to Aa Index".JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-SPACE PHYSICS 124.12(2019):9943-9952.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Chen, Si]'s Articles
[Chai, Lihui]'s Articles
[Xu, Kaihua]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Chen, Si]'s Articles
[Chai, Lihui]'s Articles
[Xu, Kaihua]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Chen, Si]'s Articles
[Chai, Lihui]'s Articles
[Xu, Kaihua]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
Add to CiteULike Add to Connotea Add to Del.icio.us Add to Digg Add to Reddit Add to Technorati
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.